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A quiet but consequential shift is underway in the real estate industry.

The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) has revised its guidance so that access to a Multiple Listing Service (MLS) is no longer nationally tied to mandatory REALTOR® membership. Instead, decisions about MLS participation requirements are left to local associations and MLS organizations.

This analysis uses a single, clearly defined local market: Onondaga County, New York. The goal is not to generalize statewide or nationally, but to show how the economics can work in a typical upstate New York market.

Local control and the rise of alternative MLS models

As MLS participation rules become more locally determined, some large and regional MLSs across the country are reassessing long-standing membership requirements. In parallel, the industry has seen the emergence of independent MLS models that operate outside the traditional REALTOR® association framework.

In New York State, examples include NY State MLS and Life & Homes Marketing MLS. Their presence does not dictate future policy decisions locally, but it reflects growing interest in alternative structures for listing distribution and MLS participation.

Why this conversation looks different in Onondaga County

Much of the national discussion surrounding REALTOR® membership relies on income assumptions drawn from New York City, Long Island, and other high-priced metropolitan markets. Onondaga County operates under materially different conditions.

Lower median home prices, fewer high-dollar transactions, and a large number of licensed agents competing for a finite number of sales all change how fixed professional costs affect agent income.

Clarifying the price data used

To avoid confusion, it is important to distinguish between median and average (or “typical”) sale prices.

Median vs. typical pricing (why we chose $280,000)

ATTOM reports median sale prices (the midpoint of recorded sales). Other market indicators (including Zillow and Redfin) suggest that typical sale values in Onondaga County can run higher. For this example, we use $280,000 as a representative sale price to avoid understating real-world commission income.

Data sources and assumptions

  • Home price benchmarks: ATTOM median sale data for Onondaga County, supplemented by Zillow/Redfin market indicators for typical pricing.
  • License counts: NYS Department of State license records via NYS Open Data (Onondaga County; updated December 2025).
  • Transaction volume: recent annual residential closings recorded in Onondaga County public records.

Walking through the Onondaga County math

Using a representative sale price of $280,000, NYS Open Data shows 2,254 licensed real estate salespersons and brokers in Onondaga County. Assuming roughly 70% are actively practicing yields an estimated 1,577 active agents.

With roughly 7,000 residential transactions per year, this implies an average of about 4.4 transaction sides per licensee. The table below compares that implied market average with higher production scenarios.

Assumptions used in the examples below
  • Commission rate (one side): 3%
  • Franchise fee: 6% of gross commission income
  • Agent/broker split: 70/30
  • Taxes: 28% combined income tax + 15.3% self-employment tax
  • Annual association dues (local/state/national): $646
  • Annual MLS fees (CNYIS): $684
  • Total fixed association + MLS costs: $1,330
Scenario (Onondaga County) Sides/Year Gross Volume GCI (3%) After Franchise Fee Agent Gross After Split Estimated Net Income Assoc % of Net Assoc+MLS % of Net
Implied county average 4.4 $1,232,000 $36,960 $34,742 $24,319 $13,788 4.7% 9.6%
Average county producer 10.0 $2,800,000 $84,000 $78,960 $55,272 $31,296 2.1% 4.3%
Above-average producer 15.0 $4,200,000 $126,000 $118,440 $82,908 $47,210 1.4% 2.8%
Note: This is a simplified model intended to show the relative impact of fixed costs (association dues and MLS fees) in a single county market. Individual business models vary (splits, fees, taxes, and service costs).

What the Onondaga County numbers suggest

Using a representative sale price of $280,000 reinforces an important point: even when prices are adjusted upward to reflect typical market conditions, fixed association and MLS costs remain a meaningful percentage of agent net income, particularly for those producing at or near the county average.

These figures are not presented as an argument for or against REALTOR® membership. They are intended to demonstrate how fixed professional costs interact with local market economics in an upstate New York county.

A local question going forward

As local MLS organizations evaluate participation rules under NAR’s revised guidance, agents in markets like Onondaga County will naturally assess how association membership aligns with their individual business models.

There is no single correct answer. But informed decisions depend on transparent assumptions, clearly identified data sources, and an honest look at the economics of practicing real estate in a specific local market.

About the Author:
Robert Smith — NYS Licensed Real Estate Broker; NYS Licensed Real Estate Instructor (CDEI); 40 years’ experience in the real estate industry; served over a decade as Chair of the Town of Cicero Planning Board.
Robert and Cindy Smith own and operate the Professional Career Center, a NYS Licensed Real Estate School in Syracuse, New York.
Questions? bob@pccsyr.com

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